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Research on WNN Modeling for Gold Price Forecasting Based on Improved Artificial Bee Colony Algorithm

机译:基于改进人工蜂群算法的WNN金价预测模型研究

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摘要

Gold price forecasting has been a hot issue in economics recently. In this work, wavelet neural network (WNN) combined with a novel artificial bee colony (ABC) algorithm is proposed for this gold price forecasting issue. In this improved algorithm, the conventional roulette selection strategy is discarded. Besides, the convergence statuses in a previous cycle of iteration are fully utilized as feedback messages to manipulate the searching intensity in a subsequent cycle. Experimental results confirm that this new algorithm converges faster than the conventional ABC when tested on some classical benchmark functions and is effective to improve modeling capacity of WNN regarding the gold price forecasting scheme.
机译:近期,金价预测一直是经济学中的热点问题。在这项工作中,针对此金价预测问题,提出了小波神经网络(WNN)与新颖的人工蜂群(ABC)算法相结合的方法。在这种改进的算法中,传统的轮盘赌选择策略被丢弃。此外,先前迭代周期中的收敛状态被充分用作反馈消息,以操纵后续周期中的搜索强度。实验结果证实,当在一些经典基准函数上进行测试时,该新算法的收敛速度比常规ABC更快,并且对于提高金价预测方案的WNN建模能力有效。

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