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Expected Utility Based Decision Making under Z-Information and Its Application

机译:Z信息下基于期望效用的决策方法及其应用

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摘要

Real-world decision relevant information is often partially reliable. The reasons are partial reliability of the source of information, misperceptions, psychological biases, incompetence, and so forth. Z-numbers based formalization of information (Z-information) represents a natural language (NL) based value of a variable of interest in line with the related NL based reliability. What is important is that Z-information not only is the most general representation of real-world imperfect information but also has the highest descriptive power from human perception point of view as compared to fuzzy number. In this study, we present an approach to decision making under Z-information based on direct computation over Z-numbers. This approach utilizes expected utility paradigm and is applied to a benchmark decision problem in the field of economics.
机译:现实世界中与决策相关的信息通常是部分可靠的。原因是信息源的部分可靠性,误解,心理偏见,无能等。基于Z编号的信息形式化(Z信息)表示与相关基于NL的可靠性相一致的目标变量的基于自然语言(NL)的值。重要的是,与模糊数相比,Z信息不仅是现实世界中不完美信息的最一般表示,而且从人类感知的角度来看,它具有最高的描述能力。在这项研究中,我们提出了一种基于Z值直接计算的Z信息下的决策方法。这种方法利用了预期的效用范式,并应用于经济学领域的基准决策问题。

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