【2h】

Zenos paradox in decision-making

机译:芝诺在决策中的悖论

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摘要

Classical probability theory has been influential in modelling decision processes, despite empirical findings that have been persistently paradoxical from classical perspectives. For such findings, some researchers have been successfully pursuing decision models based on quantum theory (QT). One unique feature of QT is the collapse postulate, which entails that measurements (or in decision-making, judgements) reset the state to be consistent with the measured outcome. If there is quantum structure in cognition, then there has to be evidence for the collapse postulate. A striking, a priori prediction, is that opinion change will be slowed down (under idealized conditions frozen) by continuous judgements. In physics, this is the quantum Zeno effect. We demonstrate a quantum Zeno effect in decision-making in humans and so provide evidence that advocates the use of quantum principles in decision theory, at least in some cases.
机译:尽管经验发现从经典观点一直是矛盾的,但经典概率论在决策过程建模中一直具有影响力。对于这样的发现,一些研究人员已经成功地寻求基于量子理论(QT)的决策模型。 QT的一项独特功能是崩溃假设,它要求度量(或决策,判断)将状态重置为与度量结果一致。如果认知中存在量子结构,那么必须有崩溃假设的证据。一个惊人的先验预测是,通过不断的判断,观点的改变将被减慢(在理想条件下被冻结)。在物理学中,这是量子芝诺效应。我们证明了人类决策中的量子芝诺效应,因此至少在某些情况下提供了在决策理论中倡导使用量子原理的证据。

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