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Cost of Crashes Related to Road Conditions United States 2006

机译:美国2006年与路况相关的撞车成本

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摘要

This is the first study to estimate the cost of crashes related to road conditions in the U.S. To model the probability that road conditions contributed to the involvement of a vehicle in the crash, we used 2000–03 Large Truck Crash Causation Study (LTCCS) data, the only dataset that provides detailed information whether road conditions contributed to crash occurrence. We applied the logistic regression results to a costed national crash dataset in order to calculate the probability that road conditions contributed to the involvement of a vehicle in each crash. In crashes where someone was moderately to seriously injured (AIS-2-6) in a vehicle that harmfully impacted a large tree or medium or large non-breakaway pole, or if the first harmful event was collision with a bridge, we changed the calculated probability of being road-related to 1. We used the state distribution of costs of fatal crashes where road conditions contributed to crash occurrence or severity to estimate the respective state distribution of non-fatal crash costs. The estimated comprehensive cost of traffic crashes where road conditions contributed to crash occurrence or severity was $217.5 billion in 2006. This represented 43.6% of the total comprehensive crash cost. The large share of crash costs related to road design and conditions underlines the importance of these factors in highway safety. Road conditions are largely controllable. Road maintenance and upgrading can prevent crashes and reduce injury severity.
机译:这是美国第一项估计与道路状况相关的交通事故成本的研究。为了模拟道路状况导致车辆参与交通事故的概率,我们使用了2000–03年大型卡车事故原因研究(LTCCS)数据,这是提供详细信息的唯一数据集,道路条件是否会导致撞车事故的发生。我们将逻辑回归结果应用于成本较高的全国碰撞数据集,以计算道路条件导致车辆参与每次​​碰撞的概率。在发生事故的情况下,当某人在对大树或中型或大型非可折​​断杆造成有害影响的车辆中受到中度重伤(AIS-2-6)时,或者如果第一个有害事件是与桥梁相撞,则我们更改了计算与道路相关的概率1.我们使用致命事故成本的状态分布(其中道路条件导致了事故的发生或严重程度)来估计非致命事故成本的相应状态分布。 2006年,因道路状况导致事故发生或严重程度的交通事故综合成本估计为2175亿美元,占综合事故总成本的43.6%。与道路设计和状况相关的大量碰撞成本突显了这些因素在高速公路安全中的重要性。道路状况在很大程度上是可控的。道路维护和升级可以防止撞车并降低伤害的严重性。

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