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Bright lights big city: Causal effects of population and GDP on urban brightness

机译:大城市明亮的灯光:人口和GDP对城市亮度的因果关系

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摘要

Cities are arguably both the cause, and answer, to societies’ current sustainability issues. Urbanization is the interplay between a city’s physical growth and its socio-economic development, both of which consume a substantial amount of energy and resources. Knowledge of the underlying driver(s) of urban expansion facilitates not only academic research but, more importantly, bridges the gap between science, policy drafting, and practical urban management. An increasing number of researchers are recognizing the benefits of innovative remotely sensed datasets, such as nighttime lights data (NTL), as a proxy to map urbanization and subsequently examine the driving socio-economic variables in cities. We further these approaches, by taking a trans-pacific view, and examine how an array of socio-economic ind0icators of 25 culturally and economically important urban hubs relate to long term patterns in NTL for the past 21 years. We undertake a classic econometric approach—panel causality tests which allow analysis of the causal relationships between NTL and socio-economic development across the region. The panel causality test results show a contrasting effect of population and gross domestic product (GDP) on NTL in fast, and slowly, changing cities. Information derived from this study quantitatively chronicles urban activities in the pan-Pacific region and potentially offers data for studies that spatially track local progress of sustainable urban development goals.
机译:可以说,城市既是社会当前可持续发展问题的起因,也是其答案。城市化是城市物理发展与其社会经济发展之间的相互作用,两者都消耗大量的能源和资源。对城市扩张潜在动力的了解不仅有助于学术研究,而且更重要的是,弥合了科学,政策起草和实际城市管理之间的鸿沟。越来越多的研究人员意识到,创新的遥感数据集(例如夜间灯光数据(NTL))的好处是可以用来绘制城市化地图并随后检查城市中驱动的社会经济变量。我们通过跨太平洋的观点进一步研究了这些方法,并研究了过去21年中25个具有文化和经济意义的重要城市枢纽的一系列社会经济指标如何与NTL的长期格局相关联。我们采用经典的计量经济学方法-面板因果关系测试,可以分析NTL与整个地区社会经济发展之间的因果关系。面板因果关系检验结果显示,在快速变化和缓慢变化的城市中,人口和国内生产总值(GDP)对NTL的影响相反。这项研究得出的信息定量地记录了泛太平洋地区的城市活动,并有可能为空间跟踪可持续城市发展目标的当地进展的研究提供数据。

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  • 作者

    Yuhao Lu; Nicholas C. Coops;

  • 作者单位
  • 年(卷),期 -1(13),7
  • 年度 -1
  • 页码 e0199545
  • 总页数 15
  • 原文格式 PDF
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