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Eyeing the storm: How residents of coastal Florida see hurricane forecasts and warnings

机译：直视风暴：佛罗里达州沿海居民如何看飓风预报和警告

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This paper examines the societal dimensions of warning decisions during extreme weather events in one of the most hurricane-prone areas in the U.S., Miami-Dade County, Florida. With the aim of informing improvements in the hurricane forecast and warning system, and better understanding warning decisions in extreme weather events, we explore how members of the public obtain and use hurricane forecasts and warnings in decision making. Results from in depth mental models interviews with members of the public (N=28) and survey data from three counties in Florida (N=460) show that a large majority of respondents have some hurricane experience, which influences their thinking about storm impacts, individual actions to mitigate the hazard, and vulnerability to the hazard. Comparison with results from previous research with warning system professionals (National Weather Service forecasters, media broadcasters, and public officials) indicates several gaps between professionals and laypeople including different perceptions of hurricane risks overall and related to flooding from storm surge. The findings suggest several areas for improvements in the hurricane forecast and warning system.
机译：本文研究了美国佛罗里达州迈阿密-戴德县最容易发生飓风的地区之一，极端天气事件期间预警决策的社会影响。为了通知飓风预报和预警系统的改进，并更好地了解极端天气事件中的预警决策，我们探索了公众如何在决策过程中获取和使用飓风预报和预警。深入公众心理模型访谈（N = 28）和佛罗里达州三个县（N = 460）的调查数据得出的结果表明，大多数受访者具有飓风经历，这影响了他们对风暴影响的思考，减轻危害的个人行动以及危害的脆弱性。与先前与预警系统专业人员（国家气象局预报员，媒体广播公司和政府官员）的研究结果进行比较后，我们发现专业人员与非专业人员之间存在一些差距，包括对飓风风险的总体看法不同以及与风暴潮造成的洪水有关。研究结果提出了飓风预报和预警系统的几个改进领域。

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