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A CBR-Based and MAHP-Based Customer Value Prediction Model for New Product Development

机译:基于CBR和MAHP的新产品开发客户价值预测模型

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摘要

In the fierce market environment, the enterprise which wants to meet customer needs and boost its market profit and share must focus on the new product development. To overcome the limitations of previous research, Chan et al. proposed a dynamic decision support system to predict the customer lifetime value (CLV) for new product development. However, to better meet the customer needs, there are still some deficiencies in their model, so this study proposes a CBR-based and MAHP-based customer value prediction model for a new product (C&M-CVPM). CBR (case based reasoning) can reduce experts' workload and evaluation time, while MAHP (multiplicative analytic hierarchy process) can use actual but average influencing factor's effectiveness in stimulation, and at same time C&M-CVPM uses dynamic customers' transition probability which is more close to reality. This study not only introduces the realization of CBR and MAHP, but also elaborates C&M-CVPM's three main modules. The application of the proposed model is illustrated and confirmed to be sensible and convincing through a stimulation experiment.
机译:在激烈的市场环境中,想要满足客户需求并提高市场利润和份额的企业必须专注于新产品开发。为了克服先前研究的局限性,Chan等人。提出了一种动态决策支持系统来预测新产品开发的客户生命周期价值(CLV)。但是,为了更好地满足客户需求,他们的模型仍然存在一些不足,因此,本研究提出了基于CBR和基于MAHP的新产品(C&M-CVPM)客户价值预测模型。 CBR(基于案例的推理)可以减少专家的工作量和评估时间,而MAHP(乘法层次分析法)可以使用实际但平均的影响因素来刺激,而C&M-CVPM使用动态的客户转移概率更大接近现实。这项研究不仅介绍了CBR和MAHP的实现,而且还阐述了C&M-CVPM的三个主要模块。所提出的模型的应用被说明并通过刺激实验证实是明智的。

著录项

  • 期刊名称 other
  • 作者单位
  • 年(卷),期 -1(2014),-1
  • 年度 -1
  • 页码 459765
  • 总页数 18
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

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