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Head Lice Surveillance on a Deregulated OTC-Sales Market: A Study Using Web Query Data

机译:头虱监控上放松管制的OTC销售部市场:使用Web查询数据的实证分析

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摘要

The head louse, Pediculus humanus capitis, is an obligate ectoparasite that causes infestations of humans. Studies have demonstrated a correlation between sales figures for over-the-counter (OTC) treatment products and the number of humans with head lice. The deregulation of the Swedish pharmacy market on July 1, 2009, decreased the possibility to obtain complete sale figures and thereby the possibility to obtain yearly trends of head lice infestations. In the presented study we wanted to investigate whether web queries on head lice can be used as substitute for OTC sales figures. Via Google Insights for Search and Vårdguiden medical web site, the number of queries on “huvudlöss” (head lice) and “hårlöss” (lice in hair) were obtained. The analysis showed that both the Vårdguiden series and the Google series were statistically significant (p<0.001) when added separately, but if the Google series were already included in the model, the Vårdguiden series were not statistically significant (p = 0.5689). In conclusion, web queries can detect if there is an increase or decrease of head lice infested humans in Sweden over a period of years, and be as reliable a proxy as the OTC-sales figures.
机译:头虱Pediculus humanus capitis是专性外寄生虫,可引起人类侵扰。研究表明,非处方(OTC)治疗产品的销售数字与患有头虱的人数之间存在相关性。 2009年7月1日,瑞典药房市场放松管制,降低了获得完整销售数据的可能性,从而降低了获得头虱侵扰年度趋势的可能性。在提出的研究中,我们想调查是否可以使用头虱的网络查询来代替OTC销售数据。通过Google Insights for Search和Vårdguiden医疗网站,获得了有关“huvudlöss”(头虱)和“hårlöss”(头发虱子)的查询数量。分析表明,当分别添加Vårdguiden系列和Google系列时,它们在统计上都是显着的(p <0.001),但是如果模型中已经包含了Google系列,则Vårdguiden系列在统计上就没有统计学意义(p = 0.5689)。总而言之,网络查询可以检测瑞典在过去几年中头虱感染的人数是否有所增加或减少,并且可以像OTC销售额一样可靠地替代。

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