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首页> 美国卫生研究院文献>International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health >Improving Aviation Safety through Modeling Accident Risk Assessment of Runway
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Improving Aviation Safety through Modeling Accident Risk Assessment of Runway

机译：通过建模跑道意外风险评估提高航空安全

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摘要

The exponential increase in aviation activity and air traffic in recent decades has raised several public health issues. One of the critical public health concerns is runway safety and the increasing demand for airports without accidents. In addition to threatening human lives, runway accidents are often associated with severe environmental and pollution consequences. In this study, a three-step approach is used for runway risk assessment considering probability, location, and consequences of accidents through advanced statistical methods. This study proposes novel models for the implementation of these three steps in Iran. Data on runway excursion accidents were collected from several countries with similar air accident rates. The proposed models empower engineers to advance an accurate assessment of the accident probability and safety assessment of airports. For in-service airports, it is possible to assess existing runways to remove obstacles close to runways if necessary. Also, the proposed models can be used for preliminary evaluations of developing existing airports and the construction of new runways.
机译：近几十年来，航空活动和空中交通的指数增加提高了几个公共卫生问题。关键的公共卫生问题之一是跑道安全，而不含事故的机场需求日益增加。除了威胁人类的生活，跑道事故通常与严重的环境和污染后果有关。在这项研究中，三步方法用于考虑通过先进的统计方法考虑事故的概率，位置和后果的跑道风险评估。本研究提出了在伊朗实施这三步的新型模型。来自若干国家/地区的跑道游览事故数据的数据来自有类似风险事故率的国家。拟议的模型授权工程师提前准确评估机场的事故概率和安全评估。对于在内的机场，可以评估现有的跑道，以便在必要时删除靠近跑道的障碍物。此外，拟议的模型可用于开发现有机场和新跑道建设的初步评估。

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