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Physician-Friendly Machine Learning: A Case Study with Cardiovascular Disease Risk Prediction

机译:医师友好型机器学习:心血管疾病风险预测的案例研究

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摘要

Machine learning is often perceived as a sophisticated technology accessible only by highly trained experts. This prevents many physicians and biologists from using this tool in their research. The goal of this paper is to eliminate this out-dated perception. We argue that the recent development of auto machine learning techniques enables biomedical researchers to quickly build competitive machine learning classifiers without requiring in-depth knowledge about the underlying algorithms. We study the case of predicting the risk of cardiovascular diseases. To support our claim, we compare auto machine learning techniques against a graduate student using several important metrics, including the total amounts of time required for building machine learning models and the final classification accuracies on unseen test datasets. In particular, the graduate student manually builds multiple machine learning classifiers and tunes their parameters for one month using scikit-learn library, which is a popular machine learning library to obtain ones that perform best on two given, publicly available datasets. We run an auto machine learning library called auto-sklearn on the same datasets. Our experiments find that automatic machine learning takes 1 h to produce classifiers that perform better than the ones built by the graduate student in one month. More importantly, building this classifier only requires a few lines of standard code. Our findings are expected to change the way physicians see machine learning and encourage wide adoption of Artificial Intelligence (AI) techniques in clinical domains.
机译:机器学习通常被认为是只有受过训练的专家才能使用的复杂技术。这阻止了许多医师和生物学家在研究中使用该工具。本文的目的是消除这种过时的看法。我们认为,自动机器学习技术的最新发展使生物医学研究人员能够快速构建具有竞争力的机器学习分类器,而无需对底层算法有深入的了解。我们研究了预测心血管疾病风险的案例。为了支持我们的观点,我们使用几个重要指标将自动机器学习技术与研究生进行了比较,包括建立机器学习模型所需的总时间以及对看不见的测试数据集进行最终分类的准确性。尤其是,该研究生使用scikit-learn库手动构建了多个机器学习分类器,并对其参数进行了一个月的调整,该库是一种流行的机器学习库,用于在两个给定的,可公开获得的数据集上取得最佳性能。我们在相同的数据集上运行一个名为auto-sklearn的自动机器学习库。我们的实验发现,自动机器学习要花1小时才能产生比研究生在一个月内建立的分类器更好的分类器。更重要的是,构建此分类器仅需要几行标准代码。我们的发现有望改变医生看机器学习的方式,并鼓励在临床领域广泛采用人工智能(AI)技术。

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