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The effect of control measures on COVID-19 transmission in Italy: Comparison with Guangdong province in China

机译:控制措施对意大利Covid-19传播的影响:中国广东省的比较

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摘要

Six types of coronavirus have been found to be capable of causing human infections [1]. Four of them are not highly pathogenic, typically causing cold symptoms in immunocompetent individuals, while the other two types, the severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) and the Middle East respiratory syndrome (MERS), can result in severe respiratory illness and fatalities [2–4]. In late 2019, a novel coronavirus COVID-19, which turns out to be more infectious and can survive higher temperature than SARS [5], has been identified as the pathogen of an ongoing pandemic. This virus has spread to many countries in the world [6–9]. By May 31, 2020, more than 489 921 confirmed cases due to COVID-19 had been reported in Eastern Mediterranean [10], Italy is one of the most hit countries with more than 232 664 confirmed cases, which account for 47% of reported cases in Eastern Mediterranean. Although there is a trend of relief in Italy but the situation remains unstable. Control measures have been implemented in Italy aiming to contain the outbreak and the time-line of the changes of control strategy in Italy is shown in Fig. 1a.
机译:已发现六种类型的冠状病毒能够引起人类感染[1]。其中四种不是高致病性,通常会导致免疫活性腺中的患病症状,而另外两种类型,严重的急性呼吸综合征(SARS)和中东呼吸综合征(MERS)可以导致严重的呼吸道疾病和死亡[2 -4]。 2019年底,一部新型冠状病毒Covid-19,结果更加传染性,并且可以比SARS的温度更高,并且已经被鉴定为持续的大流行病的病原体。这种病毒已经传播到世界上许多国家[6-9]。到2020年5月31日,在东部地中海的Covid-19由于Covid-19引起的489个921个确诊病例[10],意大利是有超过232,664个确认案件的最多的受灾国家之一,其中占报告的47%东地中海东部的案件。虽然意大利有一种救济趋势,但情况仍然不稳定。在意大利实施了控制措施,旨在包含意大利控制策略变化的爆发和时间线,如图1A所示。

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