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Economic Effects of Renewable Energy Expansion Policy: Computable General Equilibrium Analysis for Korea

机译:可再生能源扩建政策的经济影响:韩国可计算一般均衡分析

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摘要

This study examines the effects of renewable energy expansion policy on the Korean economy and industries using the computable general equilibrium model, which divides the power generation sector into detailed generation technologies and sources. The scenarios are set to observe the cases where the share of solar photovoltaic and wind power generation reaches 7%. The effects are examined according to differing circumstances, such as when greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions are regulated, and the funding source for renewable expansion varies. The results show that renewable expansion policies have negative effects on GDP. However, the magnitude of the GDP decline becomes smaller when GHG emissions are regulated. The expansion of renewable energy induces the growth of upstream industries which supply components for renewable generation modules. Regarding employment, the renewable expansion policy can increase the demand for labor. However, the direction and the extent of the effect vary depending on the funding source. When overlapping regulations, such as the emission trading scheme and renewable energy expansion policies, exist in the power generation sector, the renewable energy expansion policy could provide incentives for GHG emission-intensive power sources.
机译:本研究探讨了可再生能源扩建政策对韩国经济和行业的影响,使用可计算的一般均衡模型将发电领域划分为详细的一代技术和来源。该方案设置为观察太阳能光伏和风力发电份额达到7%的情况。根据不同情况检查的效果,例如当温室气体(GHG)排放受调节时,可再生扩张的资金来源各不相同。结果表明,可再生扩张政策对GDP产生了负面影响。然而,当调节温室气体排放时,GDP下降的大小变小。可再生能源的扩展诱导上游行业的增长,供应可再生的一代模块的组件。关于就业,可再生扩张政策可以增加对劳动力的需求。然而,效果的方向和程度因资金来源而异。当在发电业的排放交易计划和可再生能源扩张政策等重叠的规定时,可再生能源扩张政策可以为温室气体排放密集型电源提供激励措施。

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