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Sensitivity Analysis of Emission Models of Parcel Lockers vs. Home Delivery Based on HBEFA

机译:基于HBEFA的包裹储物柜的排放模型的敏感性分析

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摘要

Global concerns about the environmental effects (e.g., pollution, land use, noise) of last-mile deliveries are increasing. Parcel lockers are seen as an option to reduce these external effects of last-mile deliveries. The contributions of this paper are threefold: firstly, the research studies simulating the emissions caused by parcel delivery to lockers are summarized. Secondly, a demand model for parcel deliveries in New York City (NYC) is created for 365 days and delivery trips to lockers and homes are optimized for 20 “real-world” scenarios. Thirdly, using the emission factors included in the HandBook Emission Factors for Road Transport (HBEFA) database, the maximum percentage of customers who could pick up a parcel by car from parcel lockers that would result in fewer total emissions (driving customers + walking customers) than if home deliveries were adopted is calculated for various pollutants and scenario assumptions (i.e., street types, temperature, parking duration, level of service and vehicle drivetrain). This paper highlights how small changes in the calibration can significantly change the results and therefore using average values for emission factors or only considering one pollutant like most studies may not be appropriate.
机译:关于环境影响的全球担忧(例如,污染,土地使用,噪音)正在增加。包裹储物柜被视为一个选项,以降低最后一英里交付的这些外部效应。本文的贡献是三倍:首先,概述了模拟由包裹交付给储物柜引起的排放的研究。其次,纽约市(纽约市)的包裹交付需求模型是为365天创建的,而储物柜和房屋的交货旅行对于20个“真实世界”的情景进行了优化。第三,利用包括在公路运输(HBEFA)数据库的手册排放因子中的排放因子,可以通过汽车储物柜乘车拿起包裹的最大百分比,这将导致较少的总排放量(驾驶客户+步行客户)如果采用家庭交付是针对各种污染物和场景假设(即街道类型,温度,停车持续时间,服务水平和车辆动力传动装置)计算。本文突出了校准的较小变化可以显着改变结果,从而使用平均值进行排放因子,或者仅考虑大多数研究的污染物可能不合适。

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