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Classifying Sustainable Development Goal trajectories: A country-level methodology for identifying which issues and people are getting left behind

机译:对可持续发展目标的轨迹进行分类:一种国家级的方法用于确定哪些问题和人员被遗忘了

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摘要

How useful are the Sustainable Development Goals for conducting empirical analysis at the country level? We develop a methodological framework for answering this question, with special emphasis on the SDGs’ normative ambition of “no one left behind.” We first classify all 169 SDG targets and find that 78 incorporate an outcome-focus that is quantitatively assessable at the country level, including 43 through a systematic approach to establishing “proxy targets.” We then present a framework for diagnosing the embedded diversity of absolute and relative indicator trajectories in a harmonized manner, based on a country’s share of its starting gap on course to be closed by the relevant deadline. In turn, we present a method for estimating the human consequences of falling short on targets, measured by the number of lives at stake and people’s basic needs at stake.As a case study, we apply the framework to Canada, an economy not commonly examined in the context of global goals. We are able to assess a total of 61 targets through the use of 70 indicators, including 28 indicators drawn from the United Nations’ official database. Overall, we find Canada is on course to succeed on 18 indicators; to cover at least half but less than the full objective on 7 indicators; to cover less than half the required distance on 33 indicators; and to remain stagnant or move backwards on 12 indicators. Among indicators assessed, the country is only fully on track to achieve one SDG. Shortfalls suggest approximately 54,000 Canadian lives at stake and millions of people left behind on issues like poverty, education, intimate partner violence, and access to water and sanitation. Our diagnostic framework enables considerable, if only partial, quantification of a country’s SDG challenges, recognizing the wide range of contexts for underlying data availability and societal problems.
机译:可持续发展目标对国家层面的经验分析有多大作用?我们开发了一个方法框架来回答这个问题,并特别强调了可持续发展目标的“没有人落伍”的野心。我们首先对所有169个可持续发展目标进行了分类,发现其中78个纳入了以结果为重点的结果,可以在国家一级进行定量评估,包括通过建立“代理目标”的系统方法得出的43个结果。然后,我们提出一个框架,根据一个国家在相应截止日期之前应弥补的开始缺口中的份额,以统一的方式诊断绝对和相对指标轨迹的内在多样性。反过来,我们提出了一种方法,该方法可以通过危及生命的数量和危急中人们的基本需求来衡量达不到目标的人类后果。在全球目标的背景下。通过使用70项指标,我们能够评估总共61项目标,其中包括从联合国官方数据库中提取的28项指标。总体而言,我们发现加拿大在18个指标上正在取得成功;至少涵盖7个指标的一半但少于全部目标;在33个指示器上覆盖不到所需距离的一半;并保持停滞或在12个指标上向后移动。在评估的指标中,该国仅完全步入了实现一项可持续发展目标的轨道。缺口表明约有54,000人生活在危急关头,数百万人因贫穷,教育,亲密伴侣暴力以及获得水和卫生设施等问题而被抛在后面。我们的诊断框架可以对国家的SDG挑战进行相当大的量化,即使只是部分量化,也可以识别潜在数据可用性和社会问题的广泛背景。

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