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首页> 外文期刊>Accident Analysis & Prevention >Is rigorous punishment effective? A case study of lifetime license revocation in Taiwan
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Is rigorous punishment effective? A case study of lifetime license revocation in Taiwan

机译：严厉的惩罚有效吗？台湾终身许可证撤销的案例研究

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摘要

This study investigated the effectiveness of administrative lifetime driver's license revocation (ALLR) and its impact on offenders, based on a two-stage survey of 768 offenders. It was found that after ALLR had been imposed, 23.4% of these offenders were still driving almost the same as before, 59.8% drove significantly less frequently, and only 16.8% of the offenders gave up driving completely. The results of logistic regression models showed that offenders' compliance with ALLR was significantly correlated with their personal characteristics (age, income), penalty status (incarceration, duration of ALLR), and the need to drive for working, commuting and shopping. Elderly and low-income offenders were more likely to abide by the ALLR restriction. The application of the generalized estimating equations (GEE) model was used to identify the determinant factors affecting offenders' driving mileage, and to effectively estimate the driving mileage reduction as a result of the ALLR. It was found that ALLR is fairly effective in keeping offenders off the road, but that it may reduce their ability to make a living, resulting in the less fortunate becoming more helpless.
机译：本研究基于对768名犯罪者的两阶段调查，调查了行政终身驾驶证吊销（ALLR）的有效性及其对犯罪者的影响。结果发现，在实施ALLR后，这些违法者中23.4％的人仍与以前几乎一样开车，有59.8％的人频繁开车，而只有16.8％的人完全放弃了驾驶。 Logistic回归模型的结果表明，罪犯对ALLR的依从性与其个人特征（年龄，收入），刑罚状况（监禁，ALLR的持续时间）以及开车，通勤和购物的需求显着相关。老年人和低收入者更可能遵守ALLR限制。应用广义估计方程（GEE）模型来识别影响违规驾驶里程的决定性因素，并有效地估算出ALLR导致的驾驶里程减少。人们发现，ALLR在使罪犯远离道路方面相当有效，但是它可能会降低其谋生能力，从而使不幸者变得更加无助。

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