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An analysis of the possible effects of the 2001 foot and mouth disease epidemic on grass pollen concentrations in the Midlands, UK

机译:英国中部地区2001年口蹄疫流行对草粉花粉浓度的可能影响分析

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摘要

The 2001 grass pollen season in the United Kingdom was notably severe. An epidemic of foot and mouth disease (FMD) occurred in the UK during February and spread through the country during the summer. The media claimed that the control measures of culling infected animals and the restricted movement of stock, led to reduced grazing allowing pastures to flower more than in previous years. This study aimed to examine whether the severity was due only to weather factors or if the control measures also contributed. Three pollen sites from the FMD-affected Midlands region were investigated and compared with two sites from regions unaffected for differences in pollen catches, culling levels and weather. The June pollen catch in the Midlands was particularly high but this pattern also features in areas such as Cambridge in the East that were minimally affected by the epidemic. In most of the catchment areas affected by FMD the quantity of animals culled was less than 10% of the total livestock. In areas where culling was concentrated we can assume that there would have been some localized affect on the pollen levels. The results show that the main influencing variable on the 2001 grass pollen counts in the Midlands was the weather and that culling due to the foot and mouth epidemic did not exert an important influence at the regional level.
机译:英国2001年的草花粉季节特别严峻。英国在2月发生了口蹄疫流行,夏季则在整个国家蔓延。媒体声称,对被感染动物的扑杀和牲畜流动受限的控制措施,导致放牧减少,使牧场的开花率高于往年。这项研究旨在检查严重程度是否仅是由于天气因素引起的,还是控制措施是否也有所贡献。调查了受FMD影响的中部地区的三个花粉站点,并将其与未受影响地区的两个花粉站点进行了比较,以了解花粉捕获量,淘汰水平和天气的差异。中部地区6月份的花粉捕获量特别高,但这种模式在东部的剑桥等受疫情影响最小的地区也具有这种特征。在受口蹄疫影响的大多数集水区,被淘汰的动物数量不到牲畜总数的10%。在选种集中的地区,我们可以假设对花粉水平会产生一些局部影响。结果表明,对中部地区2001年草粉花粉计数的主要影响变量是天气,并且由于口蹄疫的流行而导致的扑杀并未在区域一级产生重要影响。

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