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Estimates of the climate impact of future small-scale supersonic transport aircraft - results from the HISAC EU-project

机译:HISAC欧盟项目的结果,对未来小型超音速运输机对气候的影响进行估算

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摘要

The climate impacts of three fleets of supersonic small-scale transport aircraft (S4TA) are simulated. Based on characteristic aircraft parameters, which were developed within the EU-project HISAC, emissions along geographically representative trajectories are calculated and in addition the resulting changes in the atmospheric composition (carbon dioxide, ozone layer, water vapour) and climate (near surface global mean temperature) are deduced. We assume a fleet development with an entry in service in 2015, a full fleet in 2050. The results show a temperature increase of 0.08mK (0.07-0.10mK) with only small but statistically significant variations between the configurations, leading to a minimum climate impact for a weight optimised and hence lower flying aircraft. A climate impact ratio of 3.0 ± 0.4 between a S4TA and its subsonic counterpart is calculated, which is considerable less than for previous supersonic fleets because of a lower flight altitude, leading to smaller water vapour impacts.
机译:模拟了三架超音速小型运输机(S4TA)的气候影响。根据欧盟项目HISAC内开发的飞机特征参数,计算沿地理代表性轨迹的排放量,此外,大气成分(二氧化碳,臭氧层,水蒸气)和气候(近地表全球平均值)的变化温度)。我们假设机队的发展将在2015年投入服务,到2050年将有一个完整的机队。结果表明,温度升高了0.08mK(0.07-0.10mK),并且各配置之间的变化很小,但在统计上却很显着,从而使最低气候优化了重量,从而降低了飞行器的冲击力。计算得出S4TA及其亚音速对应物之间的气候影响比为3.0±0.4,这比以前的超音速机队要低得多,因为它的飞行高度较低,从而导致较小的水蒸气影响。

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