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首页> 外文期刊>Global Affairs >Why American grand strategy has changed: international constraint, generational shift, and the return of realism
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Why American grand strategy has changed: international constraint, generational shift, and the return of realism

机译：为什么美国的盛大战略发生了变化：国际限制，代工业转变和现实主义的回归

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摘要

From Clinton to Bush to Obama to Trump: the personalities, rhetoric, and policies of Presidents charged with defining US foreign policy in the post-Cold War era could hardly appear more different. Yet recent treatments of American grand strategy have sought to highlight a lack of debate about grand strategy, and to emphasize groupthink and "habit" within the US foreign policy establishment. This article argues that US grand strategy has changed, and suggests that those who prioritize continuities rely on an overly restrictive definition of grand strategy. Employing policy paradigms as an analytical framework, this paper finds significant variation in US grand strategy across the four post-Cold War presidencies. Where the variation between Clinton and George W. Bush's presidencies can be explained by differing strategic ideas among American foreign policymaking elites, a trend towards less active hegemonic management running through the Obama and Trump presidencies is more structural in nature, reflecting both international constraints and generational change.
机译：从克林顿到布什向奥巴马到特朗普：被指控在冷战后时代的外交政策所指控的总统的个性，修辞和政策几乎看起来更加不同。然而，最近对美国盛大战略的治疗旨在突出对盛大战略的缺乏辩论，并强调美国外交政策建立中的群体和“习惯”。本文认为，美国盛大策略发生了变化，并提出了优先考虑连续性的人依靠过度限制的宏伟战略的定义。聘请政策范式作为分析框架，本文在四个冷战后主席中发现了美国大战略的重大变化。在克林顿和乔治W·布什的各种主席中可以通过不同的战略思想来解释美国对外政策制定精英的不同，通过奥巴马和特朗普主席的趋势越来越有活跃的霸权管理，更为结构性，反映了国际制约因素和世代改变。

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