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Freight Shock

机译:货运冲击

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摘要

A slowdown in world trade growth and shifts in the freight commodity mix are frequently cited as the two main reasons for the global air cargo market decline in recent years. According to IATA, airfreight markets declined for a second straight year in 2012, falling a further 1.5% in 2012 after a 0.6% decline in 2011. The freight load factor for the year was 45.2%. Expanding emerging economies have driven demand for bulk items carried by sea, while economic weakness in the West dampened demand for high-value consumer goods transported by air. This gloomy picture has reflected most prominently in China's air cargo market where Chinese cargo carriers collectively sank into deep losses in 2012 because of slowdown in demand from Western markets and oversupply of cargo capacities, a sharp contrast compared to the robust growth in passenger transport market. Chinese carriers' collective cargo traffic volume dipped for the second consecutive year in 2012, dropping 2% to 5.46 million tonnes last year after a 1% decline in 2011. According to the Civil Aviation Administration of China (CAAC), Chinese airlines' cargo traffic volume dipped 7.3% to 1.6 million tonnes in the first four months of 2012 alone.
机译:世界贸易增长放缓和货运商品结构转变经常被认为是近年来全球航空货运市场下降的两个主要原因。根据国际航空运输协会的数据,空运市场在2012年连续第二年下降,在2011年下降0.6%之后,在2012年又下降了1.5%。该年度的货运负荷率为45.2%。新兴经济体的扩张推动了对海运散装物品的需求,而西方的经济疲软抑制了对通过航空运输的高价值消费品的需求。这种悲观的景象在中国的航空货运市场上最为突出,因为西方市场的需求放缓和货运能力的过剩,与2012年客运市场的强劲增长形成鲜明对比,中国的货运公司在2012年集体陷入了严重亏损。 2012年,中国承运人的集体货物运输量连续第二年下降,去年下降2%,至546万吨,而2011年下降了1%。根据中国民航总局的数据,中国航空公司的货物运输量仅在2012年的前四个月,棉花产量就下降了7.3%,至160万吨。

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