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首页> 外文期刊>American Journal of Political Science >Controlling the Airwaves: Incumbency Advantage and Community Radio in Brazil
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Controlling the Airwaves: Incumbency Advantage and Community Radio in Brazil

机译：控制电波：巴西的在位优势和社区广播

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摘要

Direct influence over communication media is a potent resource during electoral campaigns, and politicians have an incentive to gain control of the airwaves to advance their careers. In this article, we use data on community radio license applications in Brazil to identify both the causal effect of incumbency on politicians’ ability to control the media and the causal effect of media control on their future electoral prospects. Using a regression discontinuity design, we compare city council candidates who barely won or barely lost an election, showing that incumbency more than doubles the probability of an application’s approval by the Ministry of Communications. Next, using genetic matching, we compare candidates who acquired community radio licenses before an election to similar politicians who did not, showing that a radio station substantially increases one’s vote share and probability of victory. These findings demonstrate that media control helps entrench local political power in Brazil.
机译：在选举期间，对传播媒体的直接影响是一种强大的资源，而政客们则有动力获得对电波的控制，以促进其职业发展。在本文中，我们使用巴西社区广播许可证申请的数据来确定现任对政客控制媒体的能力的因果关系以及媒体控制对他们未来选举前景的因果关系。使用回归不连续性设计，我们对几乎没有赢得选举或几乎没有赢得选举的市议会候选人进行了比较，结果表明，任职者的申请被交通部批准的可能性增加了一倍以上。接下来，我们使用遗传匹配将选举前获得社区无线电执照的候选人与没有选举的类似政客进行比较，这表明广播电台大大增加了一个人的选票份额和获胜的可能性。这些发现表明，媒体控制有助于在巴西巩固地方政治权力。

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