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Canada Quick View: Covid-19 Impact On Canada's Consumer & Retail Sector

机译:加拿大快速浏览:Covid-19对加拿大消费和零售业的影响

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1. At Fitch Solutions, we have revised our forecasts for the Canadian consumer spending outlook in 2020 to 0.5% y-o-y, from a pre- Covid-19 forecast for the year of 1.3%, down on 2019’s y-o-y growth of 1.4%. 2. Prime Minister Justin Trudeau has unveiled a new financial assistance package of CAD82bn (USD61bn) to help support Canadians and businesses which are suffering as an outcome of the Covid-19 outbreak. 3. Prime Minister Justin Trudeau has unveiled a new financial assistance package of CAD82bn to help support Canadians and businesses which have suffered as an outcome of the Covid-19 outbreak. 4. Both Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and President Donald Trump have confirmed that the US/Canada land border will be closed as from March 18 to non-essential travel. The border however will still remain open for trade. 5. The Canadian Ministry of Transport announced that is banning entry for foreigners via air travel as from March 18, effective from 12pm. 6. Canada Health has recorded a total of 1,430 confirmed cases of Covid-19 as of March 22. At Fitch Solutions, we have revised our forecasts for consumer spending outlook in line with the latest revisions from our country risk team, which now forecasts real GDP growth at 0.6% in 2020, down from 1.5% previously forecast. This has been exacerbated by the oil price revision which has been revised downwards by our oil & gas team from USD62.0bbl to USD43.2bbl for 2020, which will weigh on Canada's fiscal revenues, risking the country entering a technical recession in 2020.
机译:1.在惠誉解决方案公司,我们将对2020年加拿大消费者支出前景的预测从年度Covid-19之前的预测1.3%修订为2020年的0.5%,低于2019年Covid-19预测的1.4%。 2.总理贾斯汀·特鲁多(Justin Trudeau)推出了新的820亿加元(合610亿美元)的财政援助计划,以帮助支持因Covid-19疫情而遭受苦难的加拿大人和企业。 3.总理贾斯汀·特鲁多(Justin Trudeau)推出了820亿加元的新财政援助计划,以帮助支持因Covid-19爆发而遭受苦难的加拿大人和企业。 4.总理贾斯汀·特鲁多和唐纳德·特朗普总统都已确认,自3月18日起,美国/加拿大陆地边界将关闭,以免不必要的旅行。但是,边境仍将继续开放贸易。 5.加拿大运输部宣布,从3月18日起,禁止外国人乘飞机入境,从下午12点开始生效。 6.截至3月22日,加拿大卫生部共记录了1,430例确诊的Covid-19病例。在惠誉解决方案中,我们已根据国家风险小组的最新修订修订了对消费者支出前景的预测,该预测目前为实际2020年GDP增​​长率为0.6%,低于此前预测的1.5%。石油价格修正案加剧了这一点,我们的石油和天然气团队已将其下调至2020年的62.0美元/桶至43.2美元/桶,这将拖累加拿大的财政收入,并有可能使该国在2020年陷入技术性衰退。

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    《Americas food and drink insight》 |2020年第4期|27-30|共4页
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