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首页> 外文期刊>Jahresbericht der Deutschen Mathematiker-Vereinigung >Hans Kaper and Hans Engler: 'Mathematics and Climate' and Ian Roulstone and John Norbury: 'Invisible in the Storm: The Role of Mathematics in Understanding Weather': SIAM, 2013,295 pp. and Princeton University Press, 2013,384 pp
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Hans Kaper and Hans Engler: 'Mathematics and Climate' and Ian Roulstone and John Norbury: 'Invisible in the Storm: The Role of Mathematics in Understanding Weather': SIAM, 2013,295 pp. and Princeton University Press, 2013,384 pp

机译：汉斯·卡珀（Hans Kaper）和汉斯·恩格勒（Hans Engler）：“数学与气候”，伊恩·罗尔斯通（Ian Roulstone）和约翰·诺伯里（John Norbury）：“风暴中的隐形：数学在理解天气中的作用”：SIAM​​，2013，295页；普林斯顿大学出版社，2013，384页

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摘要

We all rely on daily weather forecasts and take their general reliability for granted as well as being annoyed or badly affected by its occasional failures. Especially when confronted with extreme weather events such as storms, droughts, or flooding, we might take a deeper interest in the causes of such events and how one can predict them. On a long-term perspective we are also being faced with climate change and its societal consequences. Again we might wonder how climate predictions are being generated and how reliable they are. To find answers to all of these questions we are ultimately forced to look into the science of weather and climate with climate often being paraphrased as the statistics of weather, or in terms of an even simpler phrase: "Climate is what we expect and weather is what we get." While few of us will have the time and muse to become experts on weather and climate, most of us would be content with an easily accessible "glimpse behind the curtain" of the core issues in the modelling and prediction of weather and climate.
机译：我们所有人都依赖每日天气预报，并把它们的一般可靠性视为理所当然，并且因偶尔的故障而烦恼或严重影响。尤其是当遇到暴风雨，干旱或洪水等极端天气事件时，我们可能会对此类事件的成因以及如何预测它们产生更深的兴趣。从长远角度来看，我们还面临着气候变化及其社会后果。再次，我们可能想知道如何生成气候预测以及它们的可靠性。为了找到所有这些问题的答案，我们最终不得不研究天气和气候科学，而气候通常被解释为天气的统计数字，或者用一个更简单的说法来表达：“气候是我们的期望，天气是我们得到什么。”尽管我们当中很少有人有时间和思维来成为天气和气候方面的专家，但我们大多数人都会对天气和气候的建模和预测中的核心问题感到欣慰。

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