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Inflation-hedging properties of regional Chinese real estate market: evidence from 35 cities in China

机译:中国区域房地产市场的通胀对冲属性:来自中国35个城市的证据

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摘要

The housing markets in China have been gaining considerable interest from investors, but the inflation-hedging characteristics of housing remain ambiguous. Based on Chinese city-level data, this study evaluates different inflation-hedging properties in eastern, middle and western real estate markets using panel vector autoregressive (PVAR) models. Findings suggest middle real estate markets afford the best hedging opportunities for expected inflation, which is robust considering housing market heterogeneity, financial crisis and the 2010 purchase restriction order. Moreover, hedging efficacy of anticipated inflation differs between markets with low and high supply-demand ratio.
机译:中国的房地产市场已经吸引了投资者的极大兴趣,但是住房的通胀对冲特征仍然不明确。基于中国城市水平的数据,本研究使用面板矢量自回归(PVAR)模型评估了东部,中部和西部房地产市场中不同的通胀对冲属性。调查结果表明,中等房地产市场为预期的通货膨胀提供了最佳的避险机会,考虑到住房市场的异质性,金融危机和2010年的购买限制令,这种情况非常强劲。此外,在供需比率较低和较高的市场之间,预期通货膨胀的套期保值效果也有所不同。

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