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首页> 外文期刊>Applied Energy >Scenarios and policies for sustainable urban energy development based on LEAP model - A case study of a postindustrial city: Shenzhen China
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Scenarios and policies for sustainable urban energy development based on LEAP model - A case study of a postindustrial city: Shenzhen China

机译：基于LEAP模型的可持续城市能源发展的情景和政策-以后工业城市为例：中国深圳

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摘要

Cities consume more than 67% of global primary energy, the production of which results in approximately three-quarters of global CO2 emissions, exacerbating the global warming trend and related extreme weather events and natural disasters. Therefore, it is critical for cities to use existing and new sources of energy efficiently and effectively. This paper introduces a methodology that can combine sustainable energy planning with economic analysis, proposing a form of sustainable urban energy planning that could reduce energy consumption with the minimum economic cost. Taking a postindustrial city (Shenzhen, China) as an example, this paper defines four scenarios by which to analyze future projections of energy generation and consumption from 2015 to 2030 based on the Long-range Energy Alternatives Planning System model. Also developed are Sankey maps for the energy flow from the energy supply to demand sectors for different scenarios. The results show that energy efficiency improvement and energy structure upgrade policies implemented in Shenzhen would have a significant impact on its energy system. Energy consumption is projected to increase steadily up to 2030 under each scenario except for the Peak Scenario, but with different growth rates. Electricity generation in all scenarios is supposed to expand by 2030 and sustainable electricity (such as distributed photovoltaic power, waste-to-energy power, and Combined Cooling, Heating, and Power) will play an important role in the Energy structure upgrade and Peak scenarios.
机译：城市消耗了全球一次能源的67％以上，其生产约占全球二氧化碳排放量的四分之三，加剧了全球变暖趋势以及相关的极端天气事件和自然灾害。因此，对于城市而言，有效利用现有和新能源至关重要。本文介绍了一种可以将可持续能源规划与经济分析相结合的方法，提出了一种可持续城市能源规划的形式，可以以最低的经济成本减少能源消耗。以后工业城市（中国深圳）为例，本文定义了四种方案，基于远程能源替代计划系统模型，分析了2015年至2030年的能源生产和消费的未来预测。还开发了Sankey地图，用于针对不同情况从能源供应到需求部门的能量流。结果表明，深圳实施的能源效率改善和能源结构升级政策将对其能源系统产生重大影响。除“高峰”情景外，在每种情景下，预计到2030年能源消耗将稳步增长，但增长率不同。到2030年，所有情景中的发电量都将扩大，而可持续电力（例如分布式光伏发电，废物能源发电以及制冷，供热和发电相结合）将在能源结构升级和高峰情景中发挥重要作用。

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  • 来源
    《Applied Energy》 |2019年第15期|876-886|共11页
  • 作者

    Hu Guangxiao; Ma Xiaoming; Ji Junping;

  • 作者单位

    Peking Univ, Sch Environm & Energy, Shenzhen Grad Sch, Shenzhen 518055, Peoples R China;

    Peking Univ, Sch Environm & Energy, Shenzhen Grad Sch, Shenzhen 518055, Peoples R China;

    Peking Univ, Sch Environm & Energy, Shenzhen Grad Sch, Shenzhen 518055, Peoples R China|Lawrence Berkeley Natl Lab, Energy Anal & Environm Impacts Div, Berkeley, CA 94720 USA;

  • 收录信息 美国《科学引文索引》(SCI);美国《工程索引》(EI);
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

    LEAP model; Sustainable urban energy development; Economic cost; Shenzhen;

    机译：LEAP模型;可持续城市能源发展;经济成本;深圳;

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