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How deliberation changes public opinions on nuclear energy: South Korea's deliberation on closing nuclear reactors

机译：审议如何改变对核能的公众意见：韩国在关闭核反应堆上的审议

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摘要

This study analyzes public opinion change on energy with a detailed examination of the directional differences using comprehensive national data. The data comes from the recent deliberative polling process in South Korea on the construction of Shin-Kori nuclear reactor units 5 and 6. We specifically examined why certain people change from the "oppose" to "support" and vice versa by considering the nonlinearity effects of the demographic factors and knowledge acquired during the deliberation. By employing logistic regression analysis, we find that for the change of opinion from 'resume/defer (not stop)' to 'stop' construction of Shin-Kori units 5 and 6, the level of education, political ideology, household income, gender, and knowledge gain were found to be significant factors. On the other hand, the level of education, age, and political ideology were significant factors influencing the change of opinion from 'stop/defer (not resume)' to 'resume' construction. In addition, we find that the role of learning depends on political ideology: knowledge gain intensified the political divides on the issue. We also show that the significance of those demographic factors, especially political ideology, may come from the difference in risk perception and economic/stability assessment of the Shin-Kori nuclear power plants. The findings provide a deepened insight for policymakers around the world who may pursue public consensus building on national energy transition.
机译：本研究分析了利用综合国家数据详细审查了方向差异的能源对能源的变化。这些数据来自韩国最近的审议投票过程，南朝鲜核反应堆单位的建设5和6.我们通过考虑非线性效应来研究某些人从“反对”到“支持”反之亦然的原因在审议期间获得的人口因子和知识。通过采用逻辑回归分析，我们发现，从“恢复/推迟（不停止）”的意见变更为“停止”建设第5和6号，教育水平，政治思想，家庭收入，性别发现知识收益是重要的因素。另一方面，教育程度，年龄和政治思想是影响“停止/推迟（不恢复）”对“恢复”建设的意见变化的重要因素。此外，我们发现学习的作用取决于政治意识形态：知识增益加剧了该问题的政治鸿沟。我们还表明，这些人口统计因素，尤其是政治意识形态的重要性可能来自新KORI核电厂的风险感知和经济/稳定性/稳定性/稳定性评估的差异。这些调查结果为全世界的政策制定者提供了深化的洞察力，他们可以在国家能源转型中追求公众共识的大楼。

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  • 来源
    《Applied Energy》 |2020年第jul15期|115094.1-115094.14|共14页
  • 作者

    Kim Philseo; Kim Jihee; Yim Man-Sung;

  • 作者单位

    Korea Adv Inst Sci & Technol Dept Nucl & Quantum Engn 291 Daehak Ro Daejeon 34141 South Korea;

    Korea Adv Inst Sci & Technol Sch Business & Technol Management 291 Daehak Ro Daejeon 34141 South Korea;

    Korea Adv Inst Sci & Technol Dept Nucl & Quantum Engn 291 Daehak Ro Daejeon 34141 South Korea;

  • 收录信息 美国《科学引文索引》(SCI);美国《工程索引》(EI);
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

    Public opinion; Deliberative polling; Nuclear power; Knowledge gain effect;

    机译：舆论;审议投票;核电;知识增益效果;

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