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Fuzzy VIKOR approach for assessing the vulnerability of the water supply to climate change and variability in South Korea

机译：模糊VIKOR方法用于评估韩国的供水对气候变化和变化的脆弱性

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This study assessed the vulnerability of the water supply to climate change and variability in the South Korean provinces for the present and future with a fuzzy VIKOR approach. The key indicators of vulnerability were profiled with the Delphi surveys based on the 1PCC-based vulnerability concept, in which vulnerability is defined as a function of sensitivity, adaptive capacity and climate exposure. The fuzzy VIKOR was used to aggregate the key indicators into a vulnerability score because it can provide a compromise solution considering overall satisfaction and regret of the selection of wrong provinces. Markedly different rankings between the fuzzy VIKOR and a conventional weighted sum for overall satisfactions suggest the importance of regret component of the selection of wrong provinces and inclusion of the uncertainty of information in the vulnerability assessment and consequent decision making for adaptation. Furthermore, diverse vulnerability rankings with the six different future scenarios suggest the need for robust decision making given such uncertainty.
机译：这项研究使用模糊的VIKOR方法评估了韩国各省当前和未来的供水对气候变化和变化的脆弱性。在基于基于1PCC的脆弱性概念的Delphi调查中，对脆弱性的主要指标进行了概述，其中将脆弱性定义为敏感性，适应能力和气候暴露的函数。模糊VIKOR用于将关键指标汇总到脆弱性评分中，因为考虑到总体满意度和对错误省份的选择的遗憾，它可以提供一个折衷解决方案。模糊VIKOR和常规加权总和之间的整体满意度之间的排名明显不同，这表明选择错误的省份的遗憾组成部分以及在脆弱性评估和随之而来的适应性决策中包括信息不确定性的重要性。此外，针对六种未来情况的不同脆弱性排名表明，在存在此类不确定性的情况下，需要做出可靠的决策。

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