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首页> 外文期刊>Armed Forces & Society >Numbers Assigned in the Vietnam-Era Selective Service Lotteries Influence the Military Service Decisions of Children Born to Draft-Eligible Men: A Research Note
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Numbers Assigned in the Vietnam-Era Selective Service Lotteries Influence the Military Service Decisions of Children Born to Draft-Eligible Men: A Research Note

机译：一项研究笔记：越战时期选择性服役彩票中分配的数字会影响出生于符合征兵资格的孩子的服兵役决定

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摘要

Previous research has reported correlations between the military service records of parents and their children. Those studies, however, have not determined whether a parent's military service causally influences an offspring's participation in the armed forces. To investigate the possibility of a causal relationship, we examined whether lottery numbers issued to draft-eligible men during the U.S. Vietnam-era Selective Service Lotteries influenced the military participation of those men's children. Our study found higher rates of military participation among children born to fathers whose randomly assigned numbers were called for induction. Furthermore, we perform statistical analyses indicating that the influence of lottery numbers on the subsequent generation's military participation operated through the military service of draft-eligible men as opposed to mechanisms unrelated to service such as "draft dodging." These findings provide evidence of a causal link between the military service of parents and their children.
机译：先前的研究报道了父母与其子女的兵役记录之间的相关性。但是，这些研究尚未确定父母的兵役是否会影响后代的武装力量。为了调查因果关系的可能性，我们研究了在美国越战时期的选择性服务彩票中发给符合条件的男子的彩票号码是否影响了这些男子子女的军事参与。我们的研究发现，父亲的孩子参加军事活动的比例更高，他们被随机分配的人数被要求上岗。此外，我们进行的统计分析表明，彩票号码对下一代的军事参与的影响是通过符合征兵资格的人的兵役来进行的，而不是与诸如“躲避”等与兵役无关的机制所产生的。这些发现提供了父母与其子女的兵役之间因果关系的证据。

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