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Burma's Transition to Quasi-Military Rule: From Rulers to Guardians?

机译：缅甸向准军事统治的过渡：从统治者到监护人？

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摘要

Today, most military regimes have either given way to some form of democracy or been transformed into another form of authoritarianism. This article formulates a framework for the analysis of the detachment of militaries from politics and applies it to the case of Burma/Myanmar, which is an example of deeply entrenched military rule. It is argued that after the retreat from direct rule the military is still in control, although the regime has embarked on a series of reforms that have liberalized the political system. The article identifies the internal dynamics within the military regime as a prime motive. External factors played only an indirect role, as the growing dependence on China was seen as a threat among nationalistic circles. The military decided to bridge the internal impasse and end the external isolation only after it consolidated its own power, finally allowing the leadership succession to run smoothly.
机译：今天，大多数军事政权要么让位给某种形式的民主，要么转变成另一种形式的威权主义。本文提出了一个分析军队脱离政治的框架，并将其应用于缅甸/缅甸案件，这是根深蒂固的军事统治的一个例子。有人认为，在从直接统治撤退之后，尽管该政权开始了一系列改革，使政治制度自由化，但军队仍处于控制之中。文章将军事政权内部的内部动力确定为主要动机。外部因素仅起间接作用，因为人们越来越依赖中国，这被视为民族主义圈的威胁。军方只有在巩固自己的权力后，才决定弥合内部僵局并结束外部孤立，最终使领导层能够顺利进行。

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