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The Complementarity Hypothesis of Integration: Regionalism, Multilateralism and the ASEAN-5

机译:一体化的互补假说:地区主义,多边主义和东盟五国

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摘要

It is hypothesized that multilateralism and regionalism are complementary and that regional trade performance is partly a consequence of multilateralism and partly a consequence of like-minded and committed regionalism. Intervention analysis is applied using intra-ASEAN-5 (the five founding countries of the Association of Soutb-East Asian Nations: Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore and Thailand) historical data by isolating four historical trade policy interventions. It is concluded that intra-ASEAN-5) exports and national Gross Domestic Products doubled from the first stage of regionalism to the second stage of multilateralism; and doubled again from the second stage of multilateralism to the third stage of regionalism.
机译:据推测,多边主义和区域主义是相辅相成的,区域贸易表现部分是多边主义的结果​​,部分是志同道合和坚定的区域主义的结果​​。通过隔离四个历史贸易政策干预措施,使用ASEAN-5内(南亚-东盟国家的五个创始国:印度尼西亚,马来西亚,菲律宾,新加坡和泰国)进行干预分析。结论是,东盟五国内部的出口和国民生产总值从区域主义的第一阶段到多边主义的第二阶段增加了一倍;从多边主义第二阶段到区域主义第三阶段又翻了一番。

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