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Seismotectonics and ground-space monitoring of natural disasters precursors in the Earth

机译:地球自然灾害前兆的地震构造和地面空间监测

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Until recently, short-term prediction of earthquakes with answers to the main triad of questions (When? Where? What magnitude?) was considered to be an unsolvable problem. And if for the forecast of place and energy (or magnitude) a number of empirical regularities confirmed with theoretical models were set, but the principal possibility of short-term forecast of the time (a period from several days to months) of the beginning of earthquakes was denied by most professionals. To answer the first question of the main triad of forecast there were not reliable empirical regularities and model approaches. This was due to a flashing character in time and mosaic manifestation in the space of many types of earthquake precursors of different geophysical nature and ambiguity of their interpretations. However, the development of Internet technologies and means of ground and space monitoring of different environmental parameters have allowed in real-time to obtain, compare and analyze various anomalies in the Geosphere shells of the Earth: the magnetosphere, the ionosphere, atmosphere, lithosphere and deep layers of the Earth. This has led to a breakthrough in solving the main problems of Geophysics: short-term prediction of strong earthquakes. (C) 2014 IAA. Published by Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
机译:直到最近,对地震进行短​​期预测并回答主要问题(何时,何地,几级?)仍被认为是无法解决的问题。如果为位置和能量(或量级)的预测设置了一些用理论模型确认的经验规律,则短期预测开始的时间(从几天到几个月的时间)的主要可能性大多数专业人士都否认地震。为了回答主要预测三元组的第一个问题,没有可靠的经验规律和模型方法。这是由于时间的闪烁特性和地球物理性质各异的多种类型地震前兆的空间中的马赛克表现以及它们的解释含混不清所致。但是,互联网技术的发展以及对不同环境参数进行地面和空间监视的手段,使得可以实时获取,比较和分析地球地壳中的各种异常:磁层,电离层,大气层,岩石圈和大气层。地球深层。这导致解决地球物理的主要问题方面的突破:强地震的短期预测。 (C)2014 IAA。由Elsevier Ltd.出版。保留所有权利。

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