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The Electoral College System, Political Party Dominance, and Voter Turnout, With Evidence from the 2004 Presidential Election

机译:选举学院制度,政党支配地位和选民投票率,以2004年总统大选为依据

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摘要

Within the context of a broadened version of the "rational voter model," this study empirically investigates a hypothesis that asserts that within the context of the Electoral College System, the greater the degree to which either the Republican Party or the Democratic Party dominates the other in any given state, the lower the aggregate voter participation rate in that state. Using the 2004 Presidential election as the study period, the analysis includes a number of economic and demographic variables. Using a different methodology than previous studies of voter turnout and the Electoral College System, as well as more current data, this study finds strong empirical evidence for the hypothesis. It also is suggested that, logically, the Electoral College System distorts the pattern of voter turnout across states.
机译:在“理性选民模型”的扩展版本的背景下,本研究从经验上调查了一个假设,该假设断言在选举学院制度的背景下,共和党或民主党在另一方占主导地位的程度越高在任何给定的州,该州的总选民参与率越低。以2004年总统大选为研究期,分析包括许多经济和人口变量。本研究使用与以前的投票率和选举学院系统研究方法不同的方法,以及更多最新数据,为该假设找到了有力的经验证据。也有人建议,从逻辑上讲,选举大学制度会扭曲各州的选民投票率模式。

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