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A review of flow estimation by runoff routing in Australia - and the way forward

机译:澳大利亚径流路由流量估算综述 - 以及前进的方式

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摘要

Flood hydrograph estimation in Australia is mostly undertakenby a class of models known as runoff routing models. These models have in common the sub-division of the catchment into a number of sub-catchments, with the application of excess rainfall to each sub-catchment and the routing through a series of nonlinear storages representing the channel flow through the catchment. The first Australian runoff routing model was developed in the 1960s, and there have been numerous models developed that contain the same basic structure, with enhancements. With the release of Australian Rainfall & Runoff there were significant changes in the way design floods are estimated in Australia, with flood estimation by runoff routing beingmodified to include a joint probability approach rather than a design flood approach, so that the variability and interaction of flood-producing factors are better allowed for. This paper reviews the development of runoff routing within Australia, from the original 1960s model to joint probability, and identifies issues associated with the models, including self-consistency and the limitation on the runoff processes that can be modelled. The required features of a model that address the limitations of current models are described.
机译:澳大利亚的洪水水文估计主要是一类称为径流路由模型的模型。这些模型具有普遍的集水子分割成多个子集水区,通过将多余的降雨量施加到每个子集水区和通过代表通道流过集水器的沟道流动的一系列非线性储存。第一个澳大利亚径流路由模型是在20世纪60年代开发的,并且已经开发了许多模型,其中包含相同的基本结构,具有增强功能。随着澳大利亚降雨和径流的释放,在澳大利亚估计设计洪水的方式有重大变化,通过径流路由洪水估计,包括联合概率方法而不是设计洪水方法,使洪水的变异性和相互作用。 - 发达因素是更好的。本文审查了澳大利亚内部径流路由的发展,从原始的2060年代模型到联合概率,并识别与模型相关的问题,包括可以建模的自我一致性和对径流进程的限制。描述了解决当前模型的局限性的模型所需的特征。

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