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Surviving the Perfect Storm

机译:生存完美风暴

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摘要

Record oil prices are pushing the cost of jet fuel to nosebleed heights, forcing many operators and their suppliers into retrenchment and decline - even bankruptcy. In the matter of a few months, the aviation industry has slipped from prosperity into red ink, uncertainty and doubt. As already lean operators desperately look for new ways to cut costs, one of the first casualties is maintenance, repair and overhaul (MRO). The U.S. credit crunch, sparked by the sub-prime mortgage meltdown, has generated a recession in America and turmoil in global financial markets. In countries around the world, rising unemployment and energy costs are dampening stock prices, consumer confidence and discretionary income. It all adds up to a dramatic decline in demand for air travel. Combine these interrelated factors with oil prices that could conceivably reach $200/bbl, and the aviation industry faces a "perfect storm" of woes.
机译:创纪录的油价将喷气燃料的价格推高到令人垂涎的高度,迫使许多运营商及其供应商陷入紧缩甚至下降甚至破产的境地。在短短的几个月之内,航空业已从繁荣滑向赤字,不确定性和疑问。由于已经精益的运营商急切地寻求新的削减成本的方法,因此首先造成的人员伤亡就是维护,修理和大修(MRO)。次级抵押贷款危机引发的美国信贷紧缩,已在美国造成衰退,并在全球金融市场造成动荡。在世界各国,失业率上升和能源成本上升正在抑制股价,消费者信心和可支配收入。所有这些共同导致对航空旅行的需求急剧下降。将这些相互关联的因素与可能会达到200美元/桶的油价结合起来,航空业将面临一场“完美风暴”。

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