COMMENTARY

Joseph C. Anselmo

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COMMENTARY

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Call it a case of bad news that could be worse. A new "Global Aerospace Update" from Credit Suisse, predicts the large commercial jet industry is heading into a slowdown, but one that will be less painful than the sector's last downturn. The forecast sees Airbus's deliveries peaking at 500 this year and declining a total of 21% during the next two years. Boeing Co.'s deliveries are projected to peak at 482 this year and decline 14% by 2011. "We expect slow attrition in the airframers' order backlogs will undermine production rates, which means that Airbus and Boeing could face their own recession even as the economy recovers," write analysts Steve East and Robert Spingarn.

机译：称它为坏消息，情况可能更糟。瑞士信贷（Credit Suisse）的最新《全球航空航天更新》（Global Aerospace Update）预测，大型商用喷气机行业将步入衰退，但是这将比该行业上一次的低迷时期减轻痛苦。预测显示，空中客车公司的交付量今年将达到500架的峰值，并在未来两年内总共下降21％。波音公司的交付量预计今年将达到482架的高峰，到2011年将下降14％。“我们预计飞机制造商的订单积压缓慢将损害生产率，这意味着空客和波音可能会面临自身的衰退。经济复苏。”分析师史蒂夫·伊斯特和罗伯特·斯宾加恩写道。

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《Aviation Week & Space Technology》 |2009年第7期|9-9|共1页
作者
Joseph C. Anselmo;
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收录信息美国《工程索引》(EI);
原文格式 PDF
正文语种 eng
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