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Automated decision support system for selecting the envelope and structural systems for educational facilities

机译：自动化决策支持系统，用于选择教育设施的信封和结构系统

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This paper describes the development of an automated decision support system (DSS) to assist school districts in selecting the best envelope and structural systems for new potential educational facilities from two perspectives: sustainability and lifecycle costing (LCC). The system is designed also to assist decision makers to predict the LCC of their potential buildings by means of stochastic and deterministic forecasting models. Four primary criteria are investigated in order to determine LCC: construction cost, running cost (i.e. energy, operation, maintenance, and renovation costs), returned salvage value and associated costs of environmental impact. The data base of the system hosts fourteen structure and envelope types that the system is capable to evaluate while accounting for the uncertainties associated with life cycle cost elements. The developed decision support system utilizes Monte Carlo simulation to assess the cost effectiveness of a total of fourteen green and non-green school buildings. The evaluation and selection processes are augmented by applying the Efficient Frontier method. This decision support system can assist decision makers in minimizing the overall cost of educational facilities by detecting the most attractive possible envelope/structural system, while minimizing greenhouse gas emissions and its associated environmental footprint. The graphical user interface (GUI) of the system is designed for easy data entry and friendly environment. The core models and components of the developed system are described briefly to maintain continuity, while the paper focuses primarily on the application of the deterministic approach for selecting among alternatives.
机译：本文介绍了自动决策支持系统（DSS）的开发，以协助学区从两种角度选择新潜在教育设施的最佳信封和结构系统：可持续性和生命周期成本（LCC）。该系统还设计用于通过随机和确定性预测模型来帮助决策者预测其潜在建筑物的LCC。调查了四个主要标准，以确定LCC：施工成本，运行成本（即能量，运营，维护和改造成本），恢复救助价值和相关成本的环境影响。系统的数据库占有十四个结构和包络类型，即系统能够在核算与生命周期成本元素相关联的不确定性的同时进行评估。发达的决策支持系统利用Monte Carlo仿真来评估总共14个绿色和非绿色学校建筑的成本效益。通过应用有效的前沿方法来增强评估和选择过程。该决策支持系统可以通过检测最具吸引力的容器/结构系统，帮助决策者最大限度地减少教育设施的总体成本，同时最大限度地减少温室气体排放及其相关的环境足迹。系统的图形用户界面（GUI）是为简单的数据输入和友好环境而设计的。开发系统的核心模型和部件简要地描述以保持连续性，而纸张主要侧重于应用确定性方法选择替代方案中的选择。

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