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IS THIS RALLY FOR REAL?

机译：这是真的集会吗？

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摘要

Three times in the past year, the stock market has rallied, only to dive again. The whiplash seemed almost designed to prove to investors that there was no end to the bear-market mauling they've suffered for more than three years. Now, the market is rallying a fourth time, up 19% since mid-March. Time for another tumble? Probably not. Thanks to several powerful forces, the market may be able to escape from the rut it has been stuck in since last spring. Company operating earnings continue to grow, up 15% in the latest quarter. Low interest rates are allowing companies to cut expenses and repair balance sheets, while making stocks more attractive than bonds. Tax cuts will boost returns from dividends and capital gains. Furthermore, the latest surge is much broader than those that fizzled: The number of rising stocks on the New York Stock Exchange regularly outpaces declining ones. Says Laszlo Birinyi of money manger Birinyi Associates Inc.: "When the market has this much positive strength, I would hesitate to stand up in front of it."
机译：在过去的一年中，股市已经上涨了三倍，只是再次跳水。这种鞭打似乎几乎是旨在向投资者证明，他们遭受了三年多的熊市打击是没有止境的。现在，市场第四次上涨，自3月中旬以来已上涨了19％。是时候再次跌倒了吗？可能不是。得益于多种强大的力量，市场可能能够摆脱去年春天以来一直陷入的困境。公司营业收入继续增长，最近一个季度增长了15％。低利率使公司能够削减开支和修复资产负债表，同时使股票比债券更具吸引力。减税将增加股息和资本收益的回报。此外，最新的涨幅远大于下跌的幅度：纽约证券交易所的上升股票数量经常超过下降股票。资金管理人Birinyi Associates Inc.的Laszlo Birinyi说：“当市场具有如此积极的力量时，我会犹豫要站在市场前面。”

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