Macroeconomic Forecasts

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Macroeconomic Forecasts

机译：宏观经济预测

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BMI View: Following a forecasted 7.3% performance in 2014, we expect real GDP growth in China to slow further in 2015. That said, further targeted monetary and fiscal stimulus measures are likely over the coming quarters as the government looks to avert a more acute slowdown, and we believe that harder-hitting reform efforts could be shelved in lieu of supporting economic growth. As such, we are upgrading our 2015 real GDP growth forecast to 6.7%.

机译：BMI观点：继2014年预测为7.3％的表现之后，我们预计2015年中国的实际GDP增长将进一步放慢。也就是说，由于政府希望避免采取更为尖锐的措施，未来几个季度可能会进一步采取有针对性的货币和财政刺激措施放慢脚步，我们认为，可以改掉更艰苦的改革努力，而不是支持经济增长。因此，我们将2015年实际GDP增长预测上调至6.7％。

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《China defence & security report》 |2015年第q1期|24-29|共6页
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Macroeconomic Forecasts

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