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Changes in the activity and tracks of Arctic cyclones

机译:北极气旋活动和轨迹的变化

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Changes in the frequency and air pressure of cyclones that enter or are formed within the Arctic basin are herein examined by applying the database of cyclones created using NCEP/NCAR re-analysis. The Arctic basin is defined as the area north of latitude 68° N. Deep cyclones with a mean sea level pressure (SLP) of below 1,000 hPa, were analysed separately from shallow cyclones. Changes in the variables in the first, last, deepest and northernmost points of cyclones were studied. The cyclones were grouped into sectors by using the point on latitude 68° N at which the cyclone entered the Arctic region. The analysis described herein shows that the frequency of incoming cyclones, i.e. those that entered the Arctic basin, increased significantly during the period 1948–2002, but that the frequency of Arctic cyclones formed within the Arctic basin did not. The frequency of deep cyclones that entered the Arctic basin, as well as the frequency of cyclones that formed within it, clearly increased, while the frequency of shallow Arctic cyclones decreased. The most significant changes in the seasonal parameters associated with the cyclones occurred in winter. The mean annual SLP of deep cyclones decreased significantly, particularly for deep Arctic cyclones. The frequency of incoming cyclones showed an increase in the Bering Strait, Alaskan, Baffin Sea, and East Siberian sectors.
机译:本文通过应用使用NCEP / NCAR再分析创建的旋风数据库来检查进入北极盆地或在北极盆地内形成的旋风的频率和气压变化。北极盆地定义为北纬68°N以北的区域。对平均海平面压力(SLP)低于1,000 hPa的深层气旋和浅层气旋分别进行了分析。研究了旋风的第一个,最后一个,最深和最北端的变量的变化。利用气旋进入北极地区的北纬68°点将气旋分组为扇区。本文所述的分析表明,进入旋风的频率(即进入北极盆地的旋风)在1948-2002年期间显着增加,但是在北极盆地内形成的旋风的频率却没有。进入北极盆地的深层气旋的频率以及在北极盆地内形成的旋风的频率明显增加,而浅层北极气旋的频率减少。与气旋有关的季节参数最显着的变化发生在冬季。深层气旋的年平均SLP显着降低,特别是深层北极气旋。进入旋风的频率显示白令海峡,阿拉斯加,巴芬海和西伯利亚东部地区有所增加。

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