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A review of climate geoengineering proposals

机译:审查气候地球工程提案

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Climate geoengineering proposals seek to rectify the current radiative imbalance via either (1) reducing incoming solar radiation (solar radiation management) or (2) removing CO2 from the atmosphere and transferring it to long-lived reservoirs (carbon dioxide removal). For each option, we discuss its effectiveness and potential side effects, also considering lifetime of effect, development and deployment timescale, reversibility, and failure risks. We present a detailed review that builds on earlier work by including the most recent literature, and is more extensive than previous comparative frameworks. Solar radiation management propsals are most effective but short-lived, whilst carbon dioxide removal measures gain effectiveness the longer they are pursued. Solar radiation management could restore the global radiative balance, but must be maintained to avoid abrupt warming, meanwhile ocean acidification and residual regional climate changes would still occur. Carbon dioxide removal involves less risk, and offers a way to return to a pre-industrial CO2 level and climate on a millennial timescale, but is potentially limited by the CO2 storage capacity of geological reservoirs. Geoengineering could complement mitigation, but it is not an alternative to it. We expand on the possible combinations of mitigation, carbon dioxide removal and solar radiation management that might be used to avoid dangerous climate change.
机译:气候地球工程提案力图通过(1)减少入射的太阳辐射(太阳能辐射管理)或(2)从大气中去除CO 2 并将其转移到长寿命的储层中来纠正当前的辐射失衡(二氧化碳去除)。对于每种选择,我们都会讨论其有效性和潜在的副作用,同时还要考虑效果的生命周期,开发和部署的时间尺度,可逆性和失败风险。我们通过包含最新文献的方式,在更早的工作的基础上进行了详细的回顾,并且比以前的比较框架要广泛。太阳辐射管理提案是最有效的,但有效期很短,而二氧化碳清除措施的执行时间越长,其效果越好。太阳辐射管理可以恢复全球辐射平衡,但必须加以维护以避免突然变暖,同时海洋酸化和残留的区域气候变化仍将发生。清除二氧化碳的风险较小,并提供了一种在千禧年时间内恢复到工业化前的CO 2 水平和气候的方式,但可能受到CO 2 的限制地质储层的储存能力。地球工程可以补充缓解措施,但它不是替代方案。我们扩大了缓解,二氧化碳清除和太阳辐射管理的可能组合,这些组合可用于避免危险的气候变化。

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