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Predicting the response of hard and soft rock coasts to changes in sea level and wave height

机译:预测硬岩和软岩海岸对海平面和波高变化的响应

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A mathematical model was used to predict the effect of climate change on soft and hard rock coasts in a 2 m tidal environment. Erosional equations represented the effect of wave impact and bottom generated shear stresses in the intertidal and subtidal zones. Model runs were made for: 2900 years with constant sea level; a further 100 years, representing the last century, with either constant or slow sea level rise (0.2 m per century); and another 100 years, representing the present century, with either slow or fast (1 m per century) sea level rise, and with either no change in storm frequency or with a 10% increase in the frequency of the highest waves. The results suggest that rising sea level will trigger faster rates of cliff recession, whereas increased storm wave frequency may have only a fairly minor effect on erosional efficacy. Model runs were used to derive a series of predictive equations relating cliff recession during the present and last centuries.
机译:使用数学模型预测了2 m潮汐环境中气候变化对软硬岩石海岸的影响。侵蚀方程表示潮间带和潮间带波浪冲击和底部产生的切应力的影响。模型运行了:2900年,海平面恒定;代表上个世纪的另外100年,海平面上升恒定或缓慢(每世纪0.2 m);以及代表本世纪的另外100年,海平面上升是缓慢的还是迅速的(每世纪1 m),风暴频率没有变化,或者最高海浪的频率增加了10%。结果表明,海平面上升将触发更快的悬崖后退速度,而增加的风暴波频率可能仅对侵蚀效果产生较小的影响。使用模型运行来导出一系列与当前和上个世纪的悬崖衰退有关的预测方程。

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