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Stabilization of Atmospheric Concentrations of Greenhouse Gases

机译：稳定温室气体的大气浓度

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摘要

Given the present commitment of the developed countries according to the Kyoto Protocol, most published scenarios demonstrate that global greenhouse gases concentrations would not be stabilized at any level. In order to stabilize these concentrations, a deeper global involvement is needed. Taking Israel as an example of a `recently-developed' country, we assess the role that such countries could play by assuming voluntary commitments in strengthening global involvement. This case as a model may encourage a global scheme for curbing carbon emissions, in which the more developed countries assume a stronger role and the less developed countries participate according to the principle of common but differentiated responsibility. The scheme builds on the inverse relation that exists between the per capita gross domestic product and the rate of increase of emissions due to economic growth. According to this theoretical scheme, the voluntary commitments assumed by the `recently-developed' countries encourage the more developed countries to deepen their involvement by assuming more stringent reductions of emissions at home and transferring technological and financial means to the less developed countries. The proposed scheme would enable non-Annex I countries, both `recently-developed' countries and less developed countries, to participate much earlier in the net mitigation of greenhouse gases.
机译：鉴于发达国家目前根据《京都议定书》作出的承诺，大多数已公布的情况表明，全球温室气体浓度将不会稳定在任何水平。为了稳定这些集中，需要更广泛的全球参与。以以色列为“近来发达”国家的例子，我们通过在加强全球参与方面做出自愿承诺来评估这些国家可以发挥的作用。这种情况可以作为一种模式来鼓励全球遏制碳排放的计划，在这种计划中，较发达的国家承担更大的作用，较不发达国家根据共同但有区别的责任原则参与。该计划建立在人均国内生产总值与经济增长导致的排放增加率之间存在反比关系的基础上。根据这一理论方案，“最近发达国家”承担的自愿承诺鼓励较发达的国家通过承担更严格的国内减排量以及向较不发达国家转让技术和金融手段来加深其参与程度。拟议的计划将使非附件一国家（包括“最近发达国家”和欠发达国家）更早地参与温室气体的净减排。

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  • 来源
    《Climatic Change》 |2003年第2期|227-241|共15页
  • 作者

    Jean Koch; Uri Dayan; Shmuel Amir;

  • 作者单位

    Environmental and Risk Assessment Section Soreq Nuclear Research Center;

    Department of Geography The Hebrew University of Jerusalem;

    Environmental and Risk Assessment Section Soreq Nuclear Research CenterDepartment of Geography Tel-Aviv University;

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