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Civil war violence and political trust: Microlevel evidence from Nepal

机译：内战暴力和政治信任：尼泊尔的微观证据

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摘要

Exposure to violence can shape people's political and social perceptions. War-time effects on trust in state institutions are particularly relevant for political stability in the aftermath of violent conflict. If people distrust the state, they are less likely to endorse reform plans, will be less inclined to comply with state rules and regulations, and may uphold support for challengers of state authority. Our paper contributes to the understanding of the role of violence for trust in the national government. We use high-quality, geo-referenced survey data, joined with village-level information on civil war casualties, to estimate the effects of exposure to violence on political trust in Nepal. We find that exposure to violence matters for reducing trust in the national government. This association seems to be mainly driven by effects of violence at the outbreak of the conflict as well as at the end of the civil war period under investigation. These findings shed new light on the complex associations between exposure to violence and political trust.
机译：遭受暴力侵害可以改变人们的政治和社会观念。战时对国家机构信任的影响与暴力冲突后的政治稳定特别相关。如果人们不信任国家，那么他们不太可能赞同改革计划，也不太可能遵守国家的规章制度，并且可能会支持对国家权威挑战者的支持。我们的论文有助于理解暴力对于信任国家政府的作用。我们使用高质量的，具有地理参考意义的调查数据，再加上有关内战伤亡的村庄级信息，来评估暴力暴露对尼泊尔政治信任的影响。我们发现暴露于暴力对于减少对中央政府的信任至关重要。这种联系似乎主要是由冲突爆发时以及在所调查的内战时期结束时的暴力影响所驱动。这些发现为暴露于暴力和政治信任之间的复杂联系提供了新的思路。

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