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Interacting Effects of Phenotypic Plasticity and Evolution on Population Persistence in a Changing Climate

机译:表型可塑性和进化对气候变化中人口持久性的相互作用

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Abstract: Climate change affects individual organisms by altering development, physiology, behavior, and fitness, and populations by altering genetic and phenotypic composition, vital rates, and dynamics. We sought to clarify how selection, phenotypic plasticity, and demography are linked in the context of climate change. On the basis of theory and results of recent empirical studies of plants and animals, we believe the ecological and evolutionary issues relevant to population persistence as climate changes are the rate, type, magnitude, and spatial pattern of climate-induced abiotic and biotic change; generation time and life history of the organism; extent and type of phenotypic plasticity; amount and distribution of adaptive genetic variation across space and time; dispersal potential; and size and connectivity of subpopulations. An understanding of limits to plasticity and evolutionary potential across traits, populations, and species and feedbacks between adaptive and demographic responses is lacking. Integrated knowledge of coupled ecological and evolutionary mechanisms will increase understanding of the resilience and probabilities of persistence of populations and species.
机译:摘要:气候变化通过改变发育,生理,行为和适应性来影响单个生物,并通过改变遗传和表型组成,生命率和动态来影响种群。我们试图阐明在气候变化的背景下选择,表型可塑性和人口统计学之间的联系。根据对动植物的最新经验研究的理论和结果,我们认为与人口持久性有关的生态和进化问题是气候引起的非生物和生物变化的速率,类型,大小和空间格局;生物体的产生时间和生命史;表型可塑性的程度和类型;跨时空适应性遗传变异的数量和分布;扩散势子群体的大小和连通性。缺乏对跨性状,种群和物种的可塑性和进化潜力的限制以及适应性和人口响应之间的反馈的了解。结合生态和进化机制的综合知识将使人们更加了解种群和物种的复原力和持久性的可能性。

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