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首页> 外文期刊>Construction Management and Economics >Modelling the risks of extreme weather events for Australasian hospital infrastructure using rich picture diagrams
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Modelling the risks of extreme weather events for Australasian hospital infrastructure using rich picture diagrams

机译：使用丰富的图片图为澳大利亚医院基础设施建模极端天气事件的风险

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摘要

Anticipated increases in the frequency of extreme weather events in the future are likely to expose hospital infrastructure to new risks which are poorly understood. Traditional approaches to risk identification and analysis produce linear, narrow and static risk profiles which fail to consider complex sub-system interdepen-dencies that may assist or hinder healthcare delivery during an extreme weather event. The ability to create resilient hospitals depends on new risk management methodologies which provide an understanding of these complex relationships. Focus groups with key stakeholders in three hospitals in Australia are used to construct rich picture diagrams (RPDs) of hospital infrastructure interdependencies under different extreme weather event scenarios. They show that the risks posed to hospitals by extreme weather events cannot be considered in isolation from the surrounding infrastructure, emergency management systems, health systems and communities in which they are imbedded. The new insights provided have major governance and policy implications for agencies responsible for ensuring that hospital infrastructure can continue to support the delivery of effective health services during extreme weather events.
机译：预计未来极端天气事件的频率会增加，这可能会使医院基础设施面临新的风险，人们对此知之甚少。传统的风险识别和分析方法会产生线性，狭窄和静态的风险概况，而无法考虑复杂的子系统相互依存关系，这在极端天气事件中可能有助于或阻碍医疗服务的提供。创建具有复原力的医院的能力取决于新的风险管理方法，这些方法可提供对这些复杂关系的理解。在澳大利亚的三家医院中，与主要利益相关者组成的焦点小组被用来构建不同极端天气事件场景下医院基础设施相互依存关系的丰富图表（RPD）。他们表明，不能将极端天气事件给医院带来的风险与周围的基础设施，应急管理系统，卫生系统和社区相隔离。所提供的新见解对负责确保医院基础设施能够在极端天气事件期间继续支持提供有效的卫生服务的机构产生重大的治理和政策影响。

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