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Minimum feasible tariff model for BOT water supply projects in Malaysia

机译：马来西亚BOT供水项目的最低可行费率模型

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摘要

A key issue in implementing water supply projects based on the build, operate and transfer approach is risk allocation. Project risks should be allocated to the best competent party through proper contractual arrangements or through government support so as to achieve a low water tariff. The details of tariff design in BOT water supply projects are identified, and a minimum feasible tariff model is proposed for effective risk allocation arrangements. Risk analysis based on a real project in Malaysia is performed to demonstrate the application of the simulation model on the key factors of inflation, exchange rates and demand risk. The analysis shows that for inflation risk, a pre-set tariff adjustment formula is useful in lowering minimum feasible tariff. For exchange rate risk, the reference rate should be set lower than the best estimate. Lowering of minimum feasible tariff can also be achieved if the tariff for additional demand is lower than the tariff for guaranteed demand.
机译：基于构建，运营和转移方法实施供水项目的关键问题是风险分配。应该通过适当的合同安排或通过政府的支持，将项目风险分配给最有能力的当事方，以实现较低的水费。确定了BOT供水项目中的电价设计细节，并提出了有效可行的风险分配安排的最低可行电价模型。进行了基于马来西亚一个真实项目的风险分析，以证明仿真模型在通胀，汇率和需求风险等关键因素上的应用。分析表明，对于通货膨胀风险，预设的关税调整公式有助于降低最低可行关税。对于汇率风险，应将参考汇率设置为低于最佳估计值。如果额外需求的电价低于保证需求的电价，也可以降低最低可行电价。

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