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首页> 外文期刊>Debatte: Journal of Contemporary Central and Eastern Europe >Growing through Debt and Inflation: An Inquiry into the Esoteric and Exoteric Aspects of Bulgaria's Currency Board
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Growing through Debt and Inflation: An Inquiry into the Esoteric and Exoteric Aspects of Bulgaria's Currency Board

机译:通过债务和通货膨胀而增长:对保加利亚货币委员会的深奥和外在方面的质询

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摘要

Bulgaria, a new EU-member and an IMF star student is in dire straits. In the wake of the political and economic crisis of 1996-97, the country introduced a currency board arrangement (CBA), which provided the monetary framework for the foreign-investment-led growth that followed. This arrangement, which has been hailed as successful ever since, merits a reassessment in light of a disaster waiting to happen. In addition to double-digit inflation rates, the country's current account deficit reached 25.1 percent of GDP in 2007 and 25.3 percent in 2008, while its Gross External Debt has more than tripled since 2003. The purpose of this paper is to examine the role of the CBA in Bulgaria's transition to a specific variety of capitalism that features high share of foreign ownership of productive and financial assets, large and growing dependence on capital imports, and trade dependence. The paper argues that rather than being a technical detail, the introduction of the currency board signified a radical reconfiguration of dominant economic interests in the transition to capitalism marking a shift from domestic-led redistribution of national wealth to foreign-led mode of accumulation. Not only was thereby the dominant position of foreign creditors cemented, but indebtedness has become embedded as an underlying feature of the capitalist development of the country. The gigantic external imbalances that developed under the board have produced mountains of foreign debt whose servicing is likely to perpetuate a heavy drain of economic surplus for generations to come as well as the firm placement of the country under the constant tutelage of creditors-serving organizations.
机译:保加利亚,一个新的欧盟成员,也是国际货币基金组织的一名明星学生,身处困境。在1996-97年的政治和经济危机之后,该国实行了货币发行局安排(CBA),为随后的以外国投资为主导的增长提供了货币框架。此后一直被赞誉为成功的安排,鉴于灾难正在等待发生,值得重新评估。除了两位数的通货膨胀率,该国的经常账户赤字在2007年达到GDP的25.1%,在2008年达到25.3%,而其外债总额自2003年以来增长了三倍以上。在保加利亚向特定的多种资本主义过渡过程中的CBA,其特征是外国人对生产和金融资产的所有权占有很高的份额,对资本进口的依赖性越来越大,对贸易的依赖性也越来越大。该论文认为,货币发行局的引入不是技术性的细节,而是标志着向资本主义过渡期间主要经济利益的根本重构,标志着从国内主导的国民财富再分配向外国主导的积累方式的转变。因此,不仅巩固了外国债权人的主导地位,而且债务已成为该国资本主义发展的基本特征。董事会下形成的巨大外部失衡产生了大量的外债,这些债务的偿还很可能会使子孙后代的经济顺差大量流失,以及该国在债权人服务组织的不断监管下的牢固地位。

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