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Will the Volcano of Arms Race Erupt into New Nuclear Tests?

机译：军火竞赛会爆发新的核试验吗？

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摘要

On May 29, 2019 Lt. Gen. Robert Ashley Jr who is the Director of the Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA) claimed that "Russia has likely been secretly carrying out very low-yield nuclear tests to upgrade its nuclear arsenal". This opens a new pandora box for global security and potentially destabilize strategic stability with direct impact on global nuclear order particularly on moratorium on nuclear testing with that of Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty (CTBT) and Nuclear non-proliferation Treaty (NPT). The United States' trend to deviate from international commitments in the sphere of arms control has given impetus to global insecurity. More recently on April 27, 2019 US President Donald Trump signaled withdrawing from the Arms Trade Treaty, which is another global arms control treaty and was negotiated by the United Nations. Barrack Obama in 2013 signed the treaty and showed United States commitment to disallow notorious elements to hold automatic weapons in their hands. Starting from ballistic missiles to automatic weapons, the US trend of deviating from global treaties has logical inclination towards giving impetus to global insecurity. This article makes the point that the United States has created a so-called cluster of revisionist (China & Russia) and rogue states (Iran & North Korea) and uses them to justify its global military objectives. In 2002 and 2019 respectively, the United States came out from the ABM and INF treaties while using Chinese and Russian weapons modernization. This time Washington is trying to justify her plans for new nuclear tests that were already disclosed in the 2018 Nuclear Posture Review (NPR) and November 2017 annual report of the National Nuclear Security Administration (NNSA). Just like her previous tendency of looking for and creating scapegoats, the US on May 29 tried to fix the Russians in the theater of 'secret nuclear testing'. The article is qualitative in nature and uses inductive method of inquiry with secondary data necessary to draw objective conclusions. It attempts to find an answer to why the US is defying her commitments and wants to conduct new nuclear tests? What impact it would have on the global nuclear non-proliferation regime with that of comprehensive test ban treaty?
机译：国防情报局（DIA）局长罗伯特·阿什利（Robert Ashley）中将在2019年5月29日宣称：“俄罗斯可能一直在秘密地进行非常低产的核试验，以升级其核武库”。这为全球安全打开了一个新的潘多拉盒子，并有可能破坏战略稳定，直接影响全球核秩序，特别是与《全面禁止核试验条约》和《不扩散核武器条约》所禁止的核试验。美国在军备控制领域背离国际承诺的趋势推动了全球不安全。最近在2019年4月27日，美国总统唐纳德·特朗普表示退出《武器贸易条约》，这是另一项全球军备控制条约，是由联合国谈判达成的。巴拉克·奥巴马（Barrack Obama）在2013年签署了该条约，并表明美国承诺禁止臭名昭著的分子将自动武器掌握在手中。从弹道导弹到自动武器，美国背离全球条约的趋势在逻辑上倾向于推动全球不安全。本文指出，美国已经建立了所谓的修正主义集团（中国和俄罗斯）和流氓国家（伊朗和朝鲜），并用它们来证明其全球军事目标的合理性。美国分别在2002年和2019年退出了反弹道导弹条约和INF条约，同时使用了中国和俄罗斯的武器现代化。这次华盛顿正试图证明她的新核试验计划的合理性，该计划已在2018年核态势评估（NPR）和国家核安全局（NNSA）的2017年11月年度报告中披露。就像她以前寻找和制造替罪羊的倾向一样，美国在5月29日试图将俄罗斯人固定在“秘密核试验”战场上。这篇文章本质上是定性的，并使用归纳式的查询方法和辅助数据得出客观结论。它试图找到答案，为什么美国不履行承诺并想进行新的核试验？全面禁试条约对全球核不扩散制度将产生什么影响？

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  • 来源
    《Defence journal》 |2019年第12期|14-19|共6页
  • 作者

    TAUQEER HUSSAIN SARGANA;

  • 作者单位

    Department of Politics and International Relations, International Islamic University, Islamabad.;

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  • 正文语种 eng
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