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An Introduction to Nuclear Strategy and Small Nuclear Powers: Using North Korea as a Case

机译：核战略与小核电导论：以朝鲜为例

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摘要

This article analyzes the kinds of nuclear duels in which small nuclear powers might engage. It does so by articulating a deductive framework that describes the five ways force can be used. Nuclear weapons are means of force that can be used actively or passively to preserve or change the status quo and so can be used to support the resulting generic strategies of deterrence, defense, offense, and active and passive compellence. These are the politically purposive strategies available to conduct a nuclear duel. It then considers these strategies from the perspective of small nuclear powers by considering a case. Use of a single case makes for a more rigorous analysis of the relationship between strategies by forcing consideration of tradeoffs and complementarities. The awkwardness of the real world inherent in a single case cannot be sidestepped by use of convenient examples from other situations. North Korea is used because it is the focus of negotiations to abandon its nuclear program. In contrast, India, Israel, and Pakistan are not under international pressure at this time, and Iran does not yet possess nuclear weapons. The result is an exploration of the nuclear duel involving small nuclear powers intended to illuminate for non-specialists the opportunities, constraints, and interconnections within the space of possible nuclear strategies.
机译：本文分析了小型核大国可能参与的核对决类型。它通过阐明一个描述使用力的五种方式的演绎框架来做到这一点。核武器是可以主动或被动使用以维持或改变现状的武力手段，因此可以用于支持由此产生的威慑，防御，进攻以及主动和被动强迫的通用策略。这些是进行核对决的政治目的性策略。然后，通过考虑一个案例，从小型核大国的角度考虑这些策略。通过强制权衡取舍和互补性，使用单个案例可以对策略之间的关系进行更严格的分析。不能通过使用其他情况下的方便示例来避免在单个案例中固有的现实世界的尴尬。之所以使用朝鲜，是因为它是放弃核计划的谈判重点。相反，印度，以色列和巴基斯坦目前不在国际压力下，伊朗尚未拥有核武器。结果是对涉及小型核动力的核对决进行了探索，目的是向非专业人士阐明在可能的核战略空间内的机会，制约和相互联系。

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  • 来源
    《Defence Studies》 |2009年第1期|93-1173|共26页
  • 作者

    Carmel Davis;

  • 作者单位

    International Security Analyst, Center for International Policy, Washington, DC, USA;

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  • 正文语种 eng
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