Schelhng Goes to Sea: Managing Perceptions in China's 'Contested Zone'

JAMES R. HOLMES

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Schelhng Goes to Sea: Managing Perceptions in China's 'Contested Zone'

机译：Schelhng出海：管理中国“争议区”的观念

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This essay assesses Chinese naval strategy through the lens of Thomas Schelling's writings on coercive diplomacy. Chinese strategists studied their maritime shortcomings closely after the 1995-96 Taiwan Strait Crisis, when US aircraft-carrier expeditionary groups operated off Chinese coasts with impunity. To put matters to rights, Beijing has procured hardware able to detect, track, and target US Navy task forces, and it has yoked its naval arsenal to diplomatic efforts to raise the costs of entry into Asian waters for US forces. As Schelling might say, China has displayed its skill at the effective non-use of military force - the essence of deterrence.

机译：本文通过托马斯·谢林（Thomas Schelling）关于强制性外交的著作来评估中国的海军战略。在1995-96年台湾海峡危机之后，中国的战略家们仔细研究了自己的海上缺陷，当时美国的航空母舰远征队在中国海岸外逍遥法外。为了解决问题，北京已经购买了能够检测，跟踪和瞄准美国海军特遣队的硬件，并且已经将其海军武器库与外交努力挂钩，以提高美军进入亚洲水域的成本。就像席林所说的那样，中国在有效地不使用武力上展现了自己的技巧，这是威慑的本质。

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《Defence Studies》 |2009年第2期|189-206179|共19页
作者
JAMES R. HOLMES;
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US Naval War College, Newport, RI, USA;

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Schelhng Goes to Sea: Managing Perceptions in China's 'Contested Zone'

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