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Sweden and the issue of NATO membership: exploring a public opinion paradox

机译：瑞典与北约成员资格：探讨舆论悖论

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摘要

The past decade has seen substantial shifts in Swedish security policy and major change in the domestic debate about NATO. For the first time, all of the right-of-centre "alliance parties" are calling for a full NATO membership, and popular support for NATO has increased. Yet public opinion contains ambiguities and paradoxes that complicate the picture. At the same time as support for NATO has increased, the public is overwhelmingly for continued military non-alignment. Drawing on previous research, longitudinal data from national surveys, and other sources on defence and security issues, this article aims to increase our understanding of the development and change in Swedish public opinion on NATO. A key argument is that Erving Goffman's theatre metaphor, com-bined with neo-institutional decoupling theory, to a large degree can help understand the public opinion paradox.
机译：在过去的十年中，瑞典的安全政策发生了重大变化，而有关北约的国内辩论也发生了重大变化。所有的中央权利联盟“联盟党”都首次呼吁北约正式加入，北约的民众支持也有所增加。然而，公众舆论包含使图片复杂化的模糊性和悖论性。在增加对北约的支持的同时，公众绝大多数仍在继续进行军事不结盟运动。本文基于先前的研究，来自国家调查的纵向数据以及其他有关国防和安全问题的资料，旨在增进我们对瑞典对北约舆论发展和变化的了解。一个关键的论点是，欧文·高夫曼的戏剧隐喻与新制度的脱钩理论相结合，在很大程度上可以帮助理解民意悖论。

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